《东晋北府一丘八》正文 第5424章 出兵河北需谨慎(第2页/共2页)
年再出兵，那拓跋嗣在元老重臣和核心部落的支持下，会渐渐地平定各处的反抗与叛乱，稳住阵脚，草原人一向是敬畏强者，他会趁着在中原的和平时期，在稳定了漠南之后数次攻伐柔然，柔然虽强，也不过是典型的草原式打法，碰到十万以上的北魏骑兵来攻，必会远遁，虽然说这是草原部落的常态，但面对强敌不战而逃，是会失了各部之心的，到时候漠北的高车，铁勒诸部也会臣服于北魏，反过来攻击柔然，如此一来，漠北的柔然汗国会土崩瓦解，自顾不暇，哪还有力从北方再攻北魏呢？”
“至于北燕，胡夏，这些势力的实力有限，本就不敢单独对北魏开战，一旦没了柔然的出兵，他们连牵制性的趁火打劫也不敢了，只会跟北魏罢兵言和，甚至是称臣纳贡，这些外战和外交的胜利，只会反过来加强拓跋嗣的威望，助他巩固统治地位，现在的这些内忧外患，说白了是因为拓跋硅的突然身亡，没有留下指定的继承人所导致，那些给他征服的部落蠢蠢欲动，而内部的重臣大将也都会有些别的想法，至少打仗的时候不会出全力，所以这是拓跋氏和北魏最弱的时候，只要大晋这样的强国出兵，打败他的主力军团一次，那就算大晋不能亲手夺取北魏的江山，也能让四周的诸国对其群起攻之，将之消灭。”
刘裕冷冷地说道：“贺兰夫人，你是只要灭了北魏，消灭了拓跋氏的部落，报了仇就可以满意了，可是对大晋来说，这有何好处？且不说我现在还没灭了天师道，就说这大晋，征战连年，国内打得一片废墟，这种时候，再强行出兵攻打北魏，先不说师出无名，就算我们打赢了拓跋嗣的主力，也最多是收取河北南部和黄河以南的北魏地盘，拿个邺城之类的地方，别的地区，是根本无力继续攻取或者是推进的，反而是青州和江北出兵打河北，会造成这些地方的空虚，那后秦的中原军队就会袭击我们的侧翼，甚至夺取青州，我们在河北的军团就成了孤军，最后连撤回来都难了，这就是无论何时，我都要在保护侧翼安全，最好是夺取后秦的中原之地的情况下，才攻打北魏的原因，所有的兵棋推演，也是一半出兵河北，一半向西扩张夺取北魏的兖州之地，以防后秦为第一要务。”
贺兰敏咬了咬牙：“你是嫌只占了兖州，还有河北的南部之地，不值得你出兵的回报吗？刘裕，你就不想去解救那些在河北受北魏的奴役和镇压的汉人了吗，你不是最见不得汉人受胡虏的欺压与虐待吗？”
刘裕叹了口气：“全天下的汉人底层百姓，都在受各路势力的欺压和虐待，在后秦就不受欺压了？甚至是大晋内部，那些处于天师道恐怖统治之下的百姓就不受欺压了？在世家贵族的庄园里作牛作马的庄客们就不受欺压和虐待了？贺兰夫人，我不是神，就算是神，要解救全天下受欺压的百姓，也总有个先后次序吧。”(本章完)
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